Residential Real Estate market update: navigating the current UK housing market

Posted on: August 9th, 2024 by Yvonne Uzoka

The Bank of England (the ‘BoE’) Monetary Policy Committee’s recent decision to cut interest rates to 5% and the anticipated government taxation regime announcement in October 2024 are likely to affect both the wider UK housing and Prime Central London (‘PCL’) markets. In this market update our Residential Real Estate team take a look at the possible effects.

Impact on Swap Rates and the UK housing market

Let’s dive in. The UK housing market continues to show robust price growth. Earlier analysts’ predictions of an expected 1.8% rise in housing prices in July 2024, prices have been surpassed by actual increases of 2.1%. This unexpected growth reflects strong pent-up demand as borrowing conditions improve. In anticipation of the BoE’s interest rate cuts, several mortgage lenders, such as HSBC, NatWest and Nationwide, have recently reduced their mortgage rates boosting approvals to around 60,000 per month.

Following the BoE’s decision, five-year swap rates fell to 3.6%, the lowest since February 2024. This is under the crucial 4% threshold and experts are predicting rates will stabilise around 3.25% above pre-pandemic levels.

Why does this matter? The current trends suggest that lenders expect long-term interest rate reductions, making 5 to 10 year fixed mortgages the most cost-effective options. This indicates that lenders are keen to secure borrowers at these lower rates, which are predicted to drop over the next few years – a positive signal for the housing market.

Overall, there is cautious optimism. While house prices are rising steadily, borrowing conditions are improving and no dramatic drops in rates are expected.

The contrasting trends in PCL: signs of recovery?

In the wake of 20+ months of economic fluctuations and high interest rates, the UK property market has shown a mix of different trends. In the broader market Q2 of 2024 saw a 22% increase over the previous quarter for properties valued between £3-15 million. However, during the same time period, PCL prices were falling, with valuations dipping slightly. The trend of increasing average discounts has continued for the seventh consecutive month after three years of declines. This suggests that PCL may be influenced by other factors and the recent interest rate reductions may have a limited effect.

Despite the ratio of available stock to monthly sales at 25:3 in Q1,2024 to 22:6 in Q2, 2024, supply remains high, with an above long-term average of 20. Consequently, sellers must maintain realistic expectations regarding property prices, especially as the market broadens and buyers are presented with more options.

Key takeaway:

  • Demand is rising, but price drops in PCL are likely to continue as supply remains high.

The Government’s taxation updates and potential impacts

Lastly, we address the central government’s upcoming taxation regime, due to be announced in October, and its potential impact on the housing market. The Labour Government’s mandate is pro-growth, with an expectation of coming into effect by 6 April 2025. However, the practical implementation remains uncertain.

They aim to boost public service investment and stimulate the economy without raising income tax, national insurance, or corporation tax, which constitute about 80% of tax revenue. Proposed changes include:

  • Taxation of non-UK domiciled individuals – individuals with 10 consecutive years of non-residence will be exempt on their foreign income and gains received in the first 4 years of residence in the UK. It is irrelevant whether the income and gains are remitted to the UK;
  • Introduction of VAT on private school fees;
  • Abolition of furnished holiday lets (FHL) regime;
  • Adjustments to taxation on carried interest; and
  • Changes to transfer of assets abroad.

It is unclear if the government can achieve growth with these mechanisms or if they will backtrack on promises. As such, borrowers, lenders, and property owners should stay vigilant in the coming months.

At Lawrence Stephens we are dedicated to helping our clients navigate these changes. If you have any questions or need assistance, please do not hesitate to contact our specialised Residential Real Estate team.

Abtin Yeganeh comments on landlord-imposed work from home bans in The Independent

Posted on: July 8th, 2024 by Natasha Cox

Senior Associate, Abtin Yeganeh, comments on landlords banning their tenants from working from home, as well as tenants’ protections in this area, in The Independent.

Abtin’s comments were published in The Independent, 07 July 2024.

“As a general rule, a landlord cannot stop a tenant from working from home as it would interfere with a tenant’s statutory right to quiet enjoyment of their property. The position is somewhat more complicated where a tenant seeks to run a business from their rental property. With that said, whilst landlords can seek to exclude a tenant’s right to work from home, The Small Business Enterprise and Employment Act 2015 (subject to several exclusions) provides that landlords cannot unreasonably refuse a tenant’s request to do so.”  

Landlord and tenant works – Construction Industry Scheme payments now made simpler

Posted on: June 13th, 2024 by Natasha Cox

In brief:

Regulations were introduced in April of this year which removed the uncertainty and complexity on which payments made by commercial landlords to tenants are covered by the Construction Industry Scheme (CIS). As a result,  the majority of such payments will now fall outside the scope of the CIS and the requirement for deductions as advance payments towards a sub-contractor’s tax and National insurance to HMRC.

The pre-April 2024 rules created a cumbersome legal and administrative obligation and the removal of these compliance burdens must be welcomed.

Legislation

The Income Tax (Construction Industry Scheme) (Amendment) Regulations 2024 (SI 2024/308)  introduced in April 2024 added a new Regulation 20A to the main CIS regulations which specify that payments made by a landlord to a tenant for construction operations in connection with a lease or agreement for lease are not contract payments and are, therefore, outside the scope of the CIS.

To fall within the scope of this exclusion, payments must meet the following conditions:

  • The payment is made by or on behalf of a landlord;
  • The payment is received by a tenant or prospective tenant (tenants include sub-tenants);
  • The payment is for construction operations agreed in connection with a lease or agreement for lease;
  • The tenant that occupies or will occupy the property will carry out the construction works themselves or contract with a third party to undertake the work; and
  • The payment must be for construction operations relating to works intended primarily for the benefit and use of the tenant that occupies or will occupy the property under the lease.

The definition of ‘landlord’ includes a person with the legal or beneficial ownership of the property, who granted the lease or who will grant the lease.

What does this mean?

Under the pre-April 2024 rules, and prior to entering into any agreement relevant to the construction operations, both the landlord and tenant were required to take legal and taxation advice in order to jointly agree and document that any payments from the landlord to the tenant regarding such construction works either fell within the exclusion for ‘reverse premiums’ in Regulation 20 of the main CIS regulations so that they fell outside the scope of the CIS – or they did not and deductions would need to be made. 

Although contributions made by a landlord towards the tenant’s own fit out works were easier to assess, it was far more difficult where a contribution was being made towards the tenant undertaking Category A fit out works. This led to some landlords being more ‘careful’ in requiring the operation of the CIS on such contributions. Tenants were being asked to take on the added cost of CIS deductions –  as well as the added administrative and cash flow burdens of having to reclaim the amounts deducted. 

The new exclusion under Regulation 20A should lead to most payments by landlords to tenants (or prospective tenants) for construction operations being defined as outside of the scope of the CIS. However,, the implications of Regulation 20A do need to be fully understood.  Most notably,is the requirement that the landlord’s payments must be for construction works intended primarily for the benefit and use of the tenant. This means that any payment which relates to works outside the property occupied by the tenant is likely to fall outside the new exclusion and will therefore remain within the scope of the CIS.

As a reminder…

The new regulations do not affect the application of the CIS to payments by tenants to landlords for construction operations. Take an example where where the landlord has agreed to undertake the tenant’s own fit out works., While these payments will continue to usually fall outside the scope of the CIS, if the tenant will be sub-letting part or the whole of the property or they are registered with HMRC as a so-called ‘contractor’, the CIS deductions would apply in accordance with  Regulation 24 of the main CIS regulations for payments in respect of property used for the purposes of the business of the tenant or another company in the same group.

If you need any advice on the Construction Industry Scheme or any other aspects of construction law, please contact our team of experts Anne Wright and Tom Pemberton.

 

Stephen Messias and Goli-Michelle Banan ranked in Spear’s Property Index 2024

Posted on: March 13th, 2024 by Maverick Freedlander

We are delighted to share that Director and Head of Residential Real Estate Goli-Michelle Banan and Director in our Commercial Real Estate team and Co-Founder of Lawrence Stephens Stephen Messias have been ranked in the Spear’s Property Advisers’ Index 2024 as Top Recommended Property Lawyers.

The Spear’s Property Advisers’ index recognises the best advisers to buy, sell, manage and invest in super-prime property in London, the UK and abroad. 

These rankings are decided on the basis of peer nominations, client feedback, interviews, data supplied by firms, and extensive research by Spear’s.

Click here to see the full rankings.

We are attending MIPIM 2024

Posted on: February 5th, 2024 by Maverick Freedlander

Lawrence Stephens is pleased to have a presence again at this year’s MIPIM 2024, the leading global property event. Our cross-practice real estate team holds expertise covering all areas of Real Estate including Real Estate Financing and Banking, Residential Real Estate, Leasehold Enfranchisement and Commercial Real Estate.

Lawrence Stephens will be represented by a roster of specialist property lawyers who offer insight into the transforming real estate journey. 

Please contact us via Mipim@lawstep.co.uk or reach out to our lawyers directly, if you would like to meet, grab lunch or have a drink.

Gregory Palos, Ajoy Bose-Mallick, Andreas Panteli, Nisha Saigal, Steven Bernstein, Goli-Michelle Banan, Claire Allan and Nick Marshall, are happy to talk to you and look forward to meeting you in Cannes!

Goli-Michelle Banan comments on boundary disputes in The Telegraph

Posted on: January 30th, 2024 by Maverick Freedlander

Following JK Rowling’s recent dispute with neighbours over hedge maintenance, Director and Head of Residential Real Estate Goli-Michelle Banan comments on resolving boundary issues.

Goli-Michelle’s comments were published in The Telegraph, 26 January 2024, and can be found here.

“We had one where the neighbour of a client built a fence that was much higher than the one before. They said it was for privacy reasons but our client argued that it was not just unsightly, it also blocked the light coming into their garden.

“It’s more common in cases where neighbours have a shared pathway, larger properties or blurred boundary lines.”

 

Laura Gill explores fixtures and fittings disputes in Today’s Conveyancer

Posted on: June 28th, 2023 by AlexT

Laura Gill, Senior Associate in the Residential Real Estate department, discusses fixtures and fittings agreements and how both buyers and sellers must be open about their expectations to avoid disputes.

Laura’s article was published in Today’s Conveyancer, 28 June 2023, and can be found here.

After a near decade-long legal battle, magistrates finally ordered the return of fixtures and fittings stripped from a £1.5m manor house by the seller after completion of the sale. The seller had, in the magistrates’ opinion, “systematically” removed any object that he could from the property ahead of handing it over to the buyers, including stripping it of doors, windows, fireplaces and floors. As such, he was instructed to hand back all of the missing items, including those recovered by police during their involvement in the case.

While an extreme example of disputes that can arise over what fixtures and fittings belong to which party in a property transaction, the situation serves as a cautionary tale to buyers and sellers alike when negotiating terms ahead of completion. To avoid anything like the situation the buyers found themselves in after the gutting of their new home in the aforementioned dispute, both parties should be open and upfront about fixtures and fittings during the early stages of the transaction and preferably at the point of offer.

While there are no specific laws or legislation stipulating what should be left or removed when selling a property, the Law Society Fitting and Contents Form (TA10) should be used under the Law Society Conveyancing Protocol. If any items fall outside the scope of this form, it is strongly recommended that a separate inventory of items to include their respective values be created to form part of the sale contract.

The TA10 form is annexed to the contract and forms part of the contract of sale. It is therefore legally binding on the buyer and the seller. If the seller removes anything listed as included in the purchase price from the property on completion, they may find themselves in breach of contract and liable to be sued.

Fixtures are defined as the items in a property that are attached to the building or the land, for example integrated appliances, kitchen units and worktops. They also include carpets, doors, built-in wardrobes, radiators, boilers and central heating systems.

Fittings are those items that are not attached to the property unless by a screw or a nail such as pictures and mirrors. Other examples include freestanding goods like fridges, freezers, washing machines and dishwashers that are not built in or fully integrated, furniture, beds and tables.

More often than not, sellers tend to include white goods in the purchase price, although they are not bound to do so, and can remove them if they have stipulated that they are going to do so. Buyers should always check the TA10 form to make sure this is the case. Depending on the age and value of these goods, the seller does on occasion offer them for sale to the buyer.

Items that should be generally left in situ and which a buyer would not ordinarily expect to be removed from the property are fixtures such as the doorbell, carpets, plug and light sockets, curtain poles and light fittings.

If, however, a seller wishes to remove a light fitting, they are required when completing the Property Information Form to confirm that they will replace such light fittings with a ceiling rose, flex, bulb holder and bulb. Buyers should check that the seller has confirmed this if they are expecting light fittings to be removed.

Another important factor to consider is Stamp Duty, which does not apply to removable fittings and contents. Any fittings attached to the property will be chargeable to Stamp Duty but, in most cases, Stamp Duty is attributable to the consideration (that is, the purchase price) without any apportionment to the attached fittings.

If both parties are agreeable, it is possible to negotiate a price for more valuable items that the seller may not wish to include in the purchase price in order to avoid disappointment for the buyer and ensure that when they move into their new home, they don’t find themselves short-changed.

The seller also avoids being in breach of contract if they have an understanding from the outset of what items need to be removed from the property on completion. If a seller has an onward purchase, it also helps them manage negotiations on what should be included in their related purchase property.

As such, the seller must be reasonable and transparent about exactly what is to stay and what is to go, and the buyer should also be open and frank about their expectations in this regard.

Goli-Michelle Banan argues that there is still appetite for lending in the housing market in FTAdviser, Today’s Conveyancer and Mortgage Solutions

Posted on: February 24th, 2023 by AlexT

Director and Head of Residential Real Estate Goli-Michelle Banan highlights the calming of the UK housing market and positive trends related to reducing interest rates and lenders’ increasing willingness to lend.

Goli-Michelle’s article was published in FTAdviser, 6 April 2023, which can be found here, Mortgage Solutions, 30 January 2023, which can be found here, and in Today’s Conveyancer, 24 February 2023, which can be found here.

The UK housing market had a rollercoaster ride last year: house prices hit record levels, the Bank of England’s base lending rate increased nine times in the 12 months to December 2022, rising from 0.25% to 3.5%. It created a lull in market activity and put the brakes on property prices.

So, what next? Optimists argue that a crash will not happen with current mortgage rates predicted to fall by up to 25% this year. They also point to big lenders – HSBC, Barclays, Lloyds and NatWest – agreeing forbearance measures to help struggling borrowers: switching them to interest-only or competitive fixed-rate deals. Around 1.8m people will need to re-mortgage when their fixed-rate deals expire this year.

Schroders research shows that average UK house prices are more than eight-times average earnings; in London, that ratio rises to 11 times. Such stories make good headlines, but the economic mood is gradually changing – from general gloom to a more nuanced outlook. Notably, the shift in economic sentiment is reflected by reducing rates for new 2-year and 5-year fixed mortgages: after rising from 3 per cent in January 2022 to spike at 6.5 per cent last October, they have since fallen back towards the 5 per cent mark.

For potential buyers, interest rates are critical because they directly affect both affordability and lenders’ willingness to lend. After a decade of low interest rates, recent sharp swings have been unsettling.

Assorted lenders – Santander, Barclays, Nationwide and Halifax – now forecast imminent rate reductions to average around 4.5 per cent. Unusually, this comes as base rate is anticipated to reach 4 per cent later this month.

Mortgage rate cuts by big commercial lenders make the market more attractive and more affordable for domestic and first-time buyers – not just to overseas or cash buyers as happened when rates hit their recent highs. Despite media hype about reducing their mortgage lending, banks still have the appetite to lend.

After last year’s shocks, calm has returned. Much has been digested by the market, including the ‘new normal’ in interest rates. Potential increases are now factored into people’s thinking, so industry professionals can advise with greater confidence on where rates may head next.

Whenever the UK housing market is reportedly down, history shows it is never down for long. Buyers with available funding should press ahead on properties they really want. Good housing stock is not always available: in busier markets, people often lose out because of increased competition. Only those who are not yet able to buy should be waiting.

One caveat arises: UK incomes need to increase in real terms to boost domestic buyers’ purchasing power.  Without that, the market may still remain more attractive to overseas and cash buyers.

Steven Roskin discusses trends in the first-time buyer market in Property Today

Posted on: February 2nd, 2023 by AlexT

Director Steven Roskin explores trends in the first-time buyer market, and the factors affecting it.

Steven’s article was published in Property Today, 02 February 2023, and can be found here.

The UK residential property market has faced changes and challenges in the last few months, and this has led to a quieter period for estate agents and solicitors compared to the hectic market of the previous couple of years.

In the aftermath of the initial covid shock and stumble to the property market, we saw a very buoyant two years of transactions aided by the stamp duty holiday and the desire of people to move to different locations and property types. This was always going to taper off at some point, but it perhaps did so quicker than expected with the combination of increased cost of living, economic uncertainty and the infamous mini-budget which saw mortgage interest rates rise much more sharply than had been anticipated. Transaction levels gradually decreased between October 2022 and January of this year, and HM Land Registry records show the number of applications for transactions for value was 15% less in December 2022 compared to the previous December.

First-time buyers have of course been affected by the recent turbulence and have faced the biggest challenge of everyone in the last year: to get onto the property ladder. A few factors have contributed to this, and in the short term, the changes in the mortgage market have certainly played a part. Those that have worked hard to save a deposit have suddenly found themselves needing a larger deposit to get a mortgage. Many of them have also had to re-assess what they can afford, as increased mortgage rates meant monthly mortgage costs being hundreds of pounds more than they would have been six months ago.

At one stage, it was reported widely in the media that mortgage rates could reach 6-7% later this year, around three times higher than they were in the summer of 2022.

When adding in the increased cost of living, and in particular the energy costs associated with owning a home, it is not surprising that first-time buyers would have needed to pause and take stock before taking that big step in their lives of owning a first property. Other factors such as the ending of the government Help to Buy scheme in October 2022 (for new applications) meant assistance and incentives are currently harder to come by.

Despite these challenges we are still seeing first-time buyers active in the market and more generally there has been signs of an increase in interest and transactions as January has progressed. Estate agents that I have spoken to have reported being busy with viewings and ultimately deals being agreed including with first-time buyers. Perhaps the stock taking has largely concluded and an acceptance has set in that higher mortgage rates are here to stay but at least not looking likely to reach as high as was initially feared. The general principle remains that the UK is a country where aspiration for property ownership has always been strong. In addition, renting remains expensive, especially in the cities and so while the goal posts might have been shifted, the aspiring first-time buyer would understandably want to still get on that ladder.

To achieve this, it may require for the time being and in current circumstances that buyers stretch themselves that little bit further in terms of deposit and monthly mortgage payments. Some may need to make a new or amended application to the ‘bank of mum and dad’ to help them get what they want. There has also seemingly been a shift to more of a ‘buyer’s market’, meaning negotiation of price might be easier than it has been for the last couple of years.

Another change recently reported by lender Halifax showed that in the last decade there has been a noticeable increase in the number of buyers joining up to purchase a first property together. The report showed that 63% of first-time buyers purchased in joint names in 2022, compared to 43% in 2014. This is presumably down to property price increases generally in that period and the greater need to pool together resources to get on the ladder amongst younger buyers. It is nonetheless another example that while adjustments in expectations and circumstances may affect buyers and the market, the desire to buy and own property remains prevalent, and first-time buyers continue to be an active and important part of the market. The need for good financial and legal advice for these buyers is as great as ever, but first-time buyers are likely to remain as a high proportion of those buying, lending and driving the market forward.